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Make a guess and you could win prizes!
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#1 Free Booze!!

Post by MacDitch »

It's about time we had a new competition, and it was too good an opportunity to miss, so here it is. :)

Guess when we'll hit 100 million credits...

Due to the addition of 'predictors' on all the stats sites the rules are a smidge different...
  • Competition is open to all actively crunching members of The Scottish Boinc Team. (Must be active throughout the competition.)
    Guesses can be made and altered until we pass 95million. (As declared by me in this thread!)
    Guesses will consist of a date and hour (GMT) which will cover from xx:00 to xx:59
    - -> e.g. 10th of June @ 22:00 - would cover 10pm until 10:59pm on the tenth.
    Final time will be when the first team member spots that BoincStats has us over 100million and posts in this thread.
    Closest to the correct time(band) will win a £10 booze voucher.
Good luck everyone. :) :D :)
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#2

Post by Reeltime »

An optimistic bid to start with of September 3rd, 6pm
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#3

Post by Snowdog »

Overly optimistic I guess 31 August 8.00am
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#4

Post by Nightlord »

I think the effect of summer heat and holiday shutdowns may slow us down a tad. So, I'm going with an initial guess of September 21st at 11am
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#5

Post by MacDitch »

I guess I should have remembered to post a guess as well!

Roll Call:
31st of August @ 8am - Snowdog
3rd of September @ 6pm - Reeltime
16th of September @ 10pm - MacDitch
21st of September @ 11am - Nightlord
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#6

Post by Megacruncher »

Okay here's my no doubt soon to be revised guess.

25th September @ 18:35.

Like Nightlord I think the summer heat will soon force even the keenest of us to make comprimises. The holidays aren't so bad if you're away and no one is in the house to suffer heat stroke!
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#7

Post by Buster Gunn »

My ex wifes birthday, Sep 14th 21:00.
Buster is my dog. Sadly, Buster is gone.
Buster is the Malamute, Obi is the Golden.

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#8

Post by Megacruncher »

My ex wifes birthday, Sep 14th 21:00.
Aahhh, you sentimental fool, you :) !
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#9

Post by FlyingfocRS »

Megacruncher wrote:Okay here's my no doubt soon to be revised guess.

25th September @ 18:35.

Like Nightlord I think the summer heat will soon force even the keenest of us to make comprimises. The holidays aren't so bad if you're away and no one is in the house to suffer heat stroke!
When my daughter moved out I converted her old room into a farm.
Need to buy a fan though to try and waft some air round the room though.
Room is about 12ft x 5ft and contains 4 quads, laptop and a PS3!
Heat does kind of take your breath away when you open the door LOL even with the window open! :shock:
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#10

Post by dalyplanet »

12th of September @ 2am
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#11

Post by MacDitch »

Roll Call:
31st of August @ 8am - Snowdog
3rd of September @ 6pm - Reeltime
12th of September @ 2am - dalyplanet
14th of September @ 9pm - Buster Gunn
16th of September @ 10pm - MacDitch
21st of September @ 11am - Nightlord
25th of September @ 6pm - Megacruncher
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#12

Post by Matelot »

Ok then, 2nd Oct 05:00 :-)
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#13

Post by utopia-i »

10th September @ 16:00hrs

[daughters b'day :-)]
... is that apple pie I smell

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#14

Post by Megacruncher »

First revised guess.
I bring mine forward to 2nd September at 12 noon. We have some powerful new members & doubtless they will bring more in their wake.
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#15

Post by MacDitch »

Roll Call:
31st of August @ 8am - Snowdog
2nd of September @ noon - Megacruncher
3rd of September @ 6pm - Reeltime
9th of September @ 10pm - MacDitch
10th of September @ 4pm - utopia-i
12th of September @ 2am - dalyplanet
14th of September @ 9pm - Buster Gunn
21st of September @ 11am - Nightlord
2nd of October @ 5am - Matelot Very pessimistic I think!!
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#16

Post by ianmbaker2 »

I'm gonna try for September 5th at 3pm.

For no particular reason.
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#17

Post by Mr Thinhead »

My guess is 12th of September @ 10pm.
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#18

Post by Nightlord »

Our RAC continues to climb, so I think it's time to change my guess.

1st September at 6pm :shock:
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#19

Post by rowpie »

September 2nd at Noon.

its based on a carefully calculated first day i thought of plus a time that was easy to write.

common!!
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#20

Post by FTO-Par »

Pure guesswork Sep 1st 23:00
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#21

Post by MacDitch »

Roll Call:
29th of August @ 9pm - MacDitch
31st of August @ 8am - Snowdog
1st of September @ 6pm - Nightlord
1st of September @ 11pm - FTO-Par
2nd of September @ noon - Megacruncher
3rd of September @ 6pm - Reeltime
5th of September @ 3pm - IanBaker2
10th of September @ 4pm - utopia-i
12th of September @ 2am - dalyplanet
12th of September @ 10pm - MrThinhead
14th of September @ 9pm - Buster Gunn
2nd of October @ 5am - Matelot

Rowpie, Mega already had your guess pegged - pick another. :)
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#22

Post by Matelot »

Think i'll get serious now, and change my guess to 30th Aug 21:00.
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#23

Post by rowpie »

MacDitch wrote:Roll Call:
29th of August @ 9pm - MacDitch
31st of August @ 8am - Snowdog
1st of September @ 6pm - Nightlord
1st of September @ 11pm - FTO-Par
2nd of September @ noon - Megacruncher
3rd of September @ 6pm - Reeltime
5th of September @ 3pm - IanBaker2
10th of September @ 4pm - utopia-i
12th of September @ 2am - dalyplanet
12th of September @ 10pm - MrThinhead
14th of September @ 9pm - Buster Gunn
2nd of October @ 5am - Matelot

Rowpie, Mega already had your guess pegged - pick another. :)
I swear i picked that randomly and didn't read any other posts!!!

fine then 1pm on the 2nd
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#24

Post by Reeltime »

Time for an update from me!

Seeing as our RAC rises meteorically, plus the fact we might make the top 100 for WCG by then, and have some people earning more credit elsewhere, I'm going for August 25th 12 noon
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#25

Post by Mr Thinhead »

... and have some people earning more credit elsewhere ...
That is good thinking (I think).

I would like to revise my entry to 28 August @ 7 pm.
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#26

Post by MacDitch »

Updated Roll Call:
25th of August @ noon - Reeltime
28th of August @ 7pm - MrThinhead
29th of August @ 9pm - MacDitch
30th of August @ 9pm - Matelot
31st of August @ 8am - Snowdog
1st of September @ 6pm - Nightlord
1st of September @ 11pm - FTO-Par
2nd of September @ noon - Megacruncher
2nd of September @ 1pm - Rowpie
5th of September @ 3pm - IanBaker2
10th of September @ 4pm - utopia-i
12th of September @ 2am - dalyplanet
14th of September @ 9pm - Buster Gunn
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#27

Post by Andrew »

I guess it's time for me to join in and have a guess :D

27th August at 1500


Some of you guys really aren't being all that too optimistic are you :lol:
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#28

Post by Buster Gunn »

Moving my guess in to Sep 8th 1200.
Buster is my dog. Sadly, Buster is gone.
Buster is the Malamute, Obi is the Golden.

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#29

Post by Megacruncher »

At 94.7 Million this competition will close soon so get your revisions in soon!

The credit crunch on Cosmology & Einstein & the disappearance of Reiselseive has affected our output (in common with the rest of the Boinc community*) and so I'm altering my guess to something marginally less optimistic :(
9th September @ 22:00hrs (it's still PDG!)


(*Our absolute production has dropped but relatively speaking we are doing very well with a ranking by RAC of 40th in the world).
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#30

Post by MacDitch »

Right, I'm back from my exile of the last few weeks and should be back to normal in a day or so. As Mega pointed out, the competition closes in a matter of hours (today/tomorrow sometime) so anyone wanting to update guesses should do it quick...

Guesses as they stand:
25th of August @ noon - Reeltime
27th of August @ 3pm - Andrew
28th of August @ 7pm - MrThinhead
30th of August @ 9pm - Matelot
31st of August @ 8am - Snowdog
1st of September @ 6pm - Nightlord
1st of September @ 11pm - FTO-Par
2nd of September @ 1pm - Rowpie
5th of September @ 3pm - IanBaker2
8th of September @ noon - Buster Gunn
9th of September @ noon - MacDitch
9th of September @ 10pm - Megacruncher
10th of September @ 4pm - utopia-i
12th of September @ 2am - dalyplanet
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#31

Post by MacDitch »

The team is a mere 26k of the cut-off point for guesses/changes. Last minute adjustments should be made quickly.

Good luck everyone. :)
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#32

Post by MacDitch »

Just looked in on BOINCStats and it shows us at 95,009,771.49 cobblestones, so....

No More Changes!
Good luck to everyone who enterred.
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#33

Post by MacDitch »

Only a matter of days to go, and it looks like the best chances lie with Ian Baker and Buster:

5th of September @ 3pm - IanBaker2
8th of September @ noon - Buster Gunn

That said, things have been known to happen unexpectedly so it's not over 'till it's over. :)
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#34

Post by Buster Gunn »

Only a matter of days to go, and it looks like the best chances lie with Ian Baker and Buster:
Go Ian. I can't drink. Doctors orders. I thought I made a guess that didn't have a chance.
Buster is my dog. Sadly, Buster is gone.
Buster is the Malamute, Obi is the Golden.

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#35

Post by ianmbaker2 »

It's not over the the last cache empties...
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#36

Post by Megacruncher »

Almost certainly it will be between you two. If it's before 2am on the 7th it's Ian's, after that Busters. Who's staying up?

Or, if there are simultaneous server outages for half a dozen large projects it might just be me on the 9th. :? Then again....
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#37

Post by FlyingfocRS »

I can probably check at 2am on the 7th, nightshift.
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#38

Post by MacDitch »

We're less than half a million away from 9 digits so here's a tidy up.

Better luck next time to:
25th of August @ noon - Reeltime
27th of August @ 3pm - Andrew
28th of August @ 7pm - MrThinhead
30th of August @ 9pm - Matelot
31st of August @ 8am - Snowdog
1st of September @ 6pm - Nightlord
1st of September @ 11pm - FTO-Par
2nd of September @ 1pm - Rowpie

Whilst the first of these next has got to be the clear favourite, those still in with a chance are:
5th of September @ 3pm - IanBaker2
8th of September @ noon - Buster Gunn
9th of September @ noon - MacDitch
9th of September @ 10pm - Megacruncher
10th of September @ 4pm - utopia-i
12th of September @ 2am - dalyplanet
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#39

Post by Megacruncher »

Indeed, so long as we manage a feeble 421K in the next 48 hrs it's Ian's. Only a Boincstats outage, like we had for the 50 Million comp :shock: :lol: , can change the outcome.
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#40

Post by Buster Gunn »

Indeed, so long as we manage a feeble 421K in the next 48 hrs it's Ian's
I'm not going to upload for 2 days. JUST KIDDING. Go Ian :D
Buster is my dog. Sadly, Buster is gone.
Buster is the Malamute, Obi is the Golden.

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#41

Post by ianmbaker2 »

Cheers Buster. If I can finish a GPU unit tomorrow that will help me along as long well.

But it's not over yet.

Ian
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#42

Post by Megacruncher »

138K in the next 25 hours will do it for Ian & even more importantly for the whole of TSBT!

I'll most likely be away in the hills at the the big moment so, in advance, I'll say well done team & congratulations Ian. :D
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#43

Post by Buster Gunn »

It's basically taken this team years to get to 100mm, BUT, if you look at the current RAC , we do a million every 4 days. Thats 91.5MM in a year. Now, if we add in the current push with PS3, which has yet to peak, we should be able to do another 100MM within a year. A challenge to all team members, lets do 100MM in the next 365 days. That's only 1MM every 3.65 days or 274K a day. . Target date, September 7th, 2009.
Buster is my dog. Sadly, Buster is gone.
Buster is the Malamute, Obi is the Golden.

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Obi is the dog of the house now.
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#44

Post by MacDitch »

Congratulations to Ian Baker who was the closest guess to when we would make 9 figures.

When I checked just now (15:59 BST) Boincstats showed us as having:
100,040,762.73 credits
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#45

Post by ianmbaker2 »

Woo Hoo. Thank you, thank you thank you.

(Waits for thunderous applause to stop)

I'd like to thank my agent, my manager , and especially all the crunchers on TSBT for contributing their CPU cycles and electricity.

Ian
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#46

Post by Nightlord »

Woohoo! :D

The beer's are on Ian! :lol:



I know; I really should get out more, but what the heck: did you know that 1 Cobblestone = 8.64 x 10^11 flops, so 100 Million Cobblestones = 86,400,000,000,000,000,000 floating point operations.

...... plus or minus the odd or two. Were you counting? :wink:
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#47

Post by Buster Gunn »

Yea for Ian. Enjoy. :D
Buster is my dog. Sadly, Buster is gone.
Buster is the Malamute, Obi is the Golden.

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Obi is the dog of the house now.
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#48

Post by FlyingfocRS »

congratulations Ian 8)
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