UK #1 Competition

Post by **Megacruncher** » Mon Aug 24, 2009 1:11 am

Soon we will overtake UK Boinc Team to become the top team in the UK.

Your mission: To guess to the hour when that will be.
Your reward: A Â£15 Amazon voucher. (what you save on books you can spend on Whisky!)
The Rules:

You have one guess which you can change as often as you like but no entry/change made more than 24hrs before the event will count
All active members of either TSBT or UBT can enter.
Temujins stats specifically this page shall be deemed as the oracle of truth.
Whatever I decide, however perverse or irrational goes.

Good luck.

To start the ball rolling, I guess

3rd September @ 2am

Post by **Reeltime** » Mon Aug 24, 2009 1:20 am

kool, 4th sept 00.01

Storme · Post by **Storme** » Mon Aug 24, 2009 3:25 am

4 Sept 2am

PinkPenguin · Post by **PinkPenguin** » Mon Aug 24, 2009 12:51 pm

5 September 9:30

Temujin · Post by **Temujin** » Mon Aug 24, 2009 6:07 pm

go on then, i'll have a go

Sept 4th, 3am

Post by **aardvark** » Mon Aug 24, 2009 6:29 pm

Fifteen quid, thats got to be worth a shot (that's the Aberdonian talking)

I'll say 5th September at 19:00 hrs.

Post by **jockmacmad2** » Mon Aug 24, 2009 7:16 pm

September the 3rd at 22:00.

steve · Post by **steve** » Mon Aug 24, 2009 8:07 pm

The Weather is cooler so time to O/C

2 Sept 3am

Post by **Megacruncher** » Mon Aug 24, 2009 8:56 pm

And from UBT - Rick Horn we have September 4th at noon.

Post by **Megacruncher** » Mon Aug 24, 2009 11:34 pm

To sum up the entries so far;

2nd Sept @ 03:00 steve
3rd Sept @ 02:00 Megacruncher
3rd Sept @ 22:00 Jockmacmad
4th Sept @ 00:00 Reeltime
4th Sept @ 02:00 Storme
4th Sept @ 03:00 Temujin
4th Sept @ 12:00 UBT-Rick Horn
5th Sept @ 10:00 PinkPenguin [guess was for 9:30 but the stats update on the hour]
5th Sept @ 19:00 aardvark

Remember you can revise them at anytime.

RavyDavy · Post by **RavyDavy** » Tue Aug 25, 2009 7:03 am

I'll guess September the 4th (since its my birthday), and say 09:00

Post by **FlyingfocRS** » Tue Aug 25, 2009 5:02 pm

2nd Sept @ 03:00 steve
3rd Sept @ 02:00 Megacruncher
3rd Sept @ 22:00 Jockmacmad
4th Sept @ 00:00 Reeltime
4th Sept @ 02:00 Storme
4th Sept @ 03:00 Temujin
4th Sept @ 09:00 RavyDavy
4th Sept @ 12:00 UBT-Rick Horn
4th Sept @ 18:00 FlyingfocRS
5th Sept @ 10:00 PinkPenguin [guess was for 9:30 but the stats update on the hour]
5th Sept @ 19:00 aardvark

Post by **ianmbaker2** » Tue Aug 25, 2009 5:21 pm

Just to keep you looking at stats all through the night, I'll go for 4th Sept 05:00.

Ian

Post by **Megacruncher** » Tue Aug 25, 2009 11:15 pm

As the gap narrows to 19 million the state of play is:

2nd Sept @ 03:00 steve
3rd Sept @ 02:00 Megacruncher
3rd Sept @ 22:00 Jockmacmad
4th Sept @ 00:00 Reeltime
4th Sept @ 02:00 Storme
4th Sept @ 03:00 Temujin
4th Sept @ 05:00 ianmbaker
4th Sept @ 09:00 RavyDavy
4th Sept @ 12:00 UBT-Rick Horn
4th Sept @ 18:00 FlyingfocRS
5th Sept @ 10:00 PinkPenguin
5th Sept @ 19:00 aardvark
6th Sept @ 17.00 melter65

Post by **aardvark** » Wed Aug 26, 2009 5:07 pm

5 Million a day !!! " Jings, crivens & help ma bob". Can I re-guess to 4th Sept @ 04:00 Hrs.

Scotty "Pit on some mair dilithium crystals, we'll need a the power we can get".

Post by **Megacruncher** » Wed Aug 26, 2009 11:13 pm

With the gap narrowed to just 16.3 million that looks like a revision in the correct direction.

Frankly most of the guesses look a little on the pessimistic side (except for the ones from the UBT members which can be considered optimistic

)

So I make that:

2nd Sept @ 03:00 steve
3rd Sept @ 02:00 Megacruncher
3rd Sept @ 22:00 Jockmacmad
4th Sept @ 00:00 Reeltime
4th Sept @ 02:00 Storme
4th Sept @ 03:00 Temujin
4th Sept @ 04:00 aardvark
4th Sept @ 05:00 ianmbaker
4th Sept @ 09:00 RavyDavy
4th Sept @ 12:00 UBT-Rick Horn
4th Sept @ 18:00 FlyingfocRS
5th Sept @ 10:00 PinkPenguin
6th Sept @ 17.00 melter65

Nightlord · Post by **Nightlord** » Thu Aug 27, 2009 8:28 pm

I'll have some of this.....

31st August @ 1300

Post by **jockmacmad2** » Thu Aug 27, 2009 9:39 pm

30th @ 12:00

PinkPenguin · Post by **PinkPenguin** » Thu Aug 27, 2009 10:08 pm

....After the last couple of days I don't think I care to sustain my first attempt:

31st August 22:00

(best of luck to all!)

Post by **Megacruncher** » Thu Aug 27, 2009 11:11 pm

Wow that might be too much optimism, even with the gap narrowed to 13.6 million & Milkyway CUDA coming live. I'll limit myself to a 24hr advance.

Anyhoo I make it

30th Aug @ 1200 Jockmacmad
31st Aug @ 1300 Nightlord
31st Aug @ 2200 PinkPenguin
2nd Sept @ 0200 Megacruncher
2nd Sept @ 0300 steve
4th Sept @ 0000 Reeltime
4th Sept @ 0200 Storme
4th Sept @ 0300 Temujin
4th Sept @ 0400 aardvark
4th Sept @ 0500 ianmbaker
4th Sept @ 0900 RavyDavy
4th Sept @ 1200 UBT-Rick Horn
4th Sept @ 1800 FlyingfocRS
6th Sept @ 1700 melter65

RavyDavy · Post by **RavyDavy** » Thu Aug 27, 2009 11:22 pm

hmm, yeah I think a little revision is required too.

I'll change my guess to the 1st of sept, at 1am

Storme · Post by **Storme** » Fri Aug 28, 2009 5:10 am

And a revision from me too - 1st Sept at 1800

Post by **Reeltime** » Fri Aug 28, 2009 1:00 pm

Ill move 24 hours forward as well 3rd sept 0000

Post by **Megacruncher** » Sat Aug 29, 2009 12:42 am

Good to see that people are keeping the competition dynamic and moving their guesses around - that's what I had in mind!

With 11.2 million remaining to national supremacy I make the current position as follows:

30th Aug @ 1200 Jockmacmad
31st Aug @ 1300 Nightlord
31st Aug @ 2200 PinkPenguin
1st Sept @ 0100 RavyDavy
1st Sept @ 1800 Storme
1st Sept @ 2000 Megacruncher
2nd Sept @ 0300 steve
3rd Sept @ 0000 Reeltime
4th Sept @ 0300 Temujin
4th Sept @ 0400 aardvark
4th Sept @ 0500 ianmbaker
4th Sept @ 1200 UBT-Rick Horn
4th Sept @ 1800 FlyingfocRS
6th Sept @ 1700 melter65

[I've moved my guess by a few hours to 1st Sept @ 2000hrs]

Mr Thinhead · Post by **Mr Thinhead** » Sat Aug 29, 2009 7:18 pm

Almost missed all the fun.

I'll go for 1st September at 0800.

Post by **ianmbaker2** » Sat Aug 29, 2009 7:26 pm

Hi,
Followinf everybody else, I think I'll move my guess ahead 24 hours from 5:00am 4th sep to 5:00am on the 3rd Sept.

Ian

Post by **Megacruncher** » Sat Aug 29, 2009 11:29 pm

Just 9.16 million to go & the guesses look like this (I've gone against the flow by reverting to an earlier guess) [edit: when I say earlier I mean of course a previous later guess. ]

30th Aug @ 1200 Jockmacmad
31st Aug @ 1300 Nightlord
31st Aug @ 2200 PinkPenguin
1st Sept @ 0100 RavyDavy
1st Sept @ 0800 Mr Thinhead
1st Sept @ 1800 Storme
2nd Sept @ 0200 Megacruncher
2nd Sept @ 0300 steve
3rd Sept @ 0000 Reeltime
3rd Sept @ 0500 ianmbaker
4th Sept @ 0300 Temujin
4th Sept @ 0400 aardvark
4th Sept @ 1200 UBT-Rick Horn
4th Sept @ 1800 FlyingfocRS
6th Sept @ 1700 melter65

Post by **Megacruncher** » Sun Aug 30, 2009 12:13 am

Rule Change

Rather than having to retrospectively rule out guesses that turn out to have been made/changed less than 24 hrs before overtake, I'm not going to allow any new guesses once the gap has narrowed to less than 2 million.

I have spoken, err, typed.

Post by **aardvark** » Sun Aug 30, 2009 2:38 am

2nd @ 04:00

Post by **Megacruncher** » Sun Aug 30, 2009 11:30 pm

Well, the Milkyway outage changes everything.

We have only narrowed the gap to 8.30 million and since MW went teats up about 9am the rate of advance has been glacial indeed.

I've updated the guess-list. BTW Jock I think you'll find that your's is So earlier today!

You can still revise it.

30th Aug @ 1200 Jockmacmad
31st Aug @ 1300 Nightlord
31st Aug @ 2200 PinkPenguin
1st Sept @ 0100 RavyDavy
1st Sept @ 0800 Mr Thinhead
1st Sept @ 1800 Storme
2nd Sept @ 0300 steve
2nd Sept @ 0400 aardvark
3rd Sept @ 0000 Reeltime
3rd Sept @ 0500 ianmbaker
4th Sept @ 0200 Megacruncher
4th Sept @ 0300 Temujin
4th Sept @ 1200 UBT-Rick Horn
4th Sept @ 1800 FlyingfocRS
6th Sept @ 1700 melter65

Post by **jockmacmad2** » Mon Aug 31, 2009 12:24 am

Revision accepted gratefully lol.

2nd Sept at 20:00

trying to allow for MW being down for another good while

Storme · Post by **Storme** » Mon Aug 31, 2009 12:32 am

Boincstats shoutbox says that MW's back again.

4th Sept @ 0100

Nightlord · Post by **Nightlord** » Mon Aug 31, 2009 8:36 am

Yup, MW seems to be up since the small hours. Nonetheless, I think a revised guess is in order.

3rd Sept 12:00

PinkPenguin · Post by **PinkPenguin** » Mon Aug 31, 2009 4:15 pm

... After disappearing for a picnic on the Adriatic coast I see there has been a small problem with MW... Oh well! no more picnics for the next few days!

3rd Sept @ 22:00

Mr Thinhead · Post by **Mr Thinhead** » Mon Aug 31, 2009 6:17 pm

Well, I doubt that it will be tomorrow, so I will revise to:

3rd September @ 1700

Post by **jockmacmad2** » Mon Aug 31, 2009 11:03 pm

Arrgh 4th at 01:30 now seeing as MW came back as I posted last time.

The cads.

Post by **aardvark** » Tue Sep 01, 2009 12:01 am

Sorry to be a pain...

I'll go back to the 4th @ 04:00.

Post by **Megacruncher** » Tue Sep 01, 2009 12:28 am

MW is back up & the chase is on again in earnest! 6.21million & closing!
Loads of guesses have been revised but hopefully the following is accurate:

1st Sept @ 0100 RavyDavy
2nd Sept @ 0300 steve
3rd Sept @ 0000 Reeltime
3rd Sept @ 0500 ianmbaker
3rd Sept @ 1200 Nightlord
3rd Sept @ 1700 Mr Thinhead
3rd Sept @ 2200 PinkPenguin [I really don't think it justifies cancelling any picnics!]
4th Sept @ 0100 Storme
4th Sept @ 0130 Jockmacmad [NB This guess cannot win. There's no 0130 update]
4th Sept @ 0200 Megacruncher
4th Sept @ 0300 Temujin
4th Sept @ 0400 aardvark
4th Sept @ 1200 UBT-Rick Horn
4th Sept @ 1800 FlyingfocRS
6th Sept @ 1700 melter65

steve · Post by **steve** » Tue Sep 01, 2009 5:13 am

Its 3rd sept 3.00am for me

RavyDavy · Post by **RavyDavy** » Tue Sep 01, 2009 7:03 am

my guess has been and one - so since the difference is still 5.6million, I'll revise:

back to the 4th, at 5am.

Post by **Megacruncher** » Wed Sep 02, 2009 12:18 am

Time for the nightly update of guesses. With the gap down to a mere 4.25 million this should be the penultimate one. MW is looking a little ropey with never more than more than 1000 WU ready to send but I'll assume that it holds up and move my guess forward a bit. If it falls over that'll give me time to revise it again.

3rd Sept @ 0000 Reeltime
3rd Sept @ 0300 steve
3rd Sept @ 0500 ianmbaker
3rd Sept @ 1200 Nightlord
3rd Sept @ 1700 Mr Thinhead
3rd Sept @ 2200 PinkPenguin
4th Sept @ 0000 Megacruncher [a little fine tuning here]
4th Sept @ 0100 Storme
4th Sept @ 0200 Jockmacmad
4th Sept @ 0300 Temujin
4th Sept @ 0400 aardvark
4th Sept @ 0500 RavyDavy
4th Sept @ 1200 UBT-Rick Horn
4th Sept @ 1800 FlyingfocRS
6th Sept @ 1700 melter65

I think that some of you should get those revisions in while there is still time and before all the realistically possible hours are gone.

Post by **jockmacmad2** » Wed Sep 02, 2009 12:32 am

Thanks it was late the other night (and I'm sticking to that excuse

)

Post by **Megacruncher** » Wed Sep 02, 2009 12:47 am

Thanks it was late the other night (and I'm sticking to that excuse )

Sorry, late is no excuse. Stupidity or drunkenness on the other hand...

Post by **ianmbaker2** » Wed Sep 02, 2009 5:39 pm

Since I have a chance to change, again, I'll go for 10:00 on 4th Sept.

Ian

steve · Post by **steve** » Wed Sep 02, 2009 6:01 pm

I'll have 20:00 3rd sept

Post by **Reeltime** » Wed Sep 02, 2009 8:18 pm

las tchange I think 3rd sept@2300

Post by **Megacruncher** » Wed Sep 02, 2009 11:52 pm

I make the gap 2.03 million to go so get any final revisions in before midnight. Not that there are many realistic guesses unbagged.

3rd Sept @ 1200 Nightlord
3rd Sept @ 1700 Mr Thinhead
3rd Sept @ 2000 steve
3rd Sept @ 2100 Joshrandom
3rd Sept @ 2200 PinkPenguin
3rd Sept @ 2300 Reeltime
4th Sept @ 0000 Megacruncher
4th Sept @ 0100 Storme
4th Sept @ 0200 Jockmacmad
4th Sept @ 0300 Temujin
4th Sept @ 0400 aardvark
4th Sept @ 0500 RavyDavy
4th Sept @ 1000 ianmbaker
4th Sept @ 1200 UBT-Rick Horn
4th Sept @ 1800 FlyingfocRS
6th Sept @ 1700 melter65

Good luck to one & all!

Nightlord · Post by **Nightlord** » Wed Sep 02, 2009 11:57 pm

Before we cross the midnight deadline, I'll push mine back a wee bit.....in the hope that MW has a wobble:

4th Sept 06:00

Post by **Megacruncher** » Thu Sep 03, 2009 12:20 am

It is after midnight BST & more importantly UBT are within 1.91 million of being bettered.

Entries are closed!

3rd Sept @ 1700 Mr Thinhead
3rd Sept @ 2000 steve
3rd Sept @ 2100 Joshrandom
3rd Sept @ 2200 PinkPenguin
3rd Sept @ 2300 Reeltime
4th Sept @ 0000 Megacruncher
4th Sept @ 0100 Storme
4th Sept @ 0200 Jockmacmad
4th Sept @ 0300 Temujin
4th Sept @ 0400 aardvark
4th Sept @ 0500 RavyDavy
4th Sept @ 0600 Nightlord
4th Sept @ 1000 ianmbaker
4th Sept @ 1200 UBT-Rick Horn
4th Sept @ 1800 FlyingfocRS
6th Sept @ 1700 melter65

Post by **Megacruncher** » Thu Sep 03, 2009 8:29 pm

2000hrs and the UBT lead has been shaved to a wafer thin 137,635. It'll all be over very very soon.