The Scottish Boinc Team

Posted: **Fri Dec 18, 2009 1:08 am**

It's a comp much as you know it.
The challenge is to guess, to the hour, when TSBT will tick off our first billion. The prize will be a bottle of single malt whisky & the rules are:

The comp is open to any active member of TSBT.
All entries must be made by posting in this thread.
You have one guess but you can revise it as often as you wish until we pass 999 million.
We use Temujins excellent stats.
In the event of any dispute or ambiguity what I say goes.

To start the ball rolling here is the first guess:-

Megacruncher 18:00hrs 30th Dec

Posted: **Fri Dec 18, 2009 2:27 am**

Aardvark 03:00 0n 31st December (P.S no water in the whisky)

Posted: **Fri Dec 18, 2009 11:29 am**

18.00 29th Dec

Posted: **Fri Dec 18, 2009 12:34 pm**

Reeltime 18.00 29th Dec
FlyingfocRS 12:00hrs 30th Dec
Megacruncher 18:00hrs 30th Dec
Aardvark 03:00 0n 31st December (P.S no water in the whisky)

Posted: **Fri Dec 18, 2009 2:18 pm**

January 2nd 18:00

Sorry to be the party pooper :)

Posted: **Fri Dec 18, 2009 6:55 pm**

30th December 01:00 hrs.

Ian

Posted: **Fri Dec 18, 2009 9:00 pm**

PinkPenguin 08:00 on 28th December ...now where did that other bottle of sweet sherry disappear to...

Posted: **Fri Dec 18, 2009 11:48 pm**

The only correct answer to that question is the trifle!

Posted: **Sat Dec 19, 2009 1:32 am**

The guesses, with just over 33 million to go, so far are:

PinkPenguin 08:00 28th Dec
Reeltime 18.00 29th Dec
IanMBaker 01:00 30th Dec
FlyingfocRS 12:00hrs 30th Dec
Megacruncher 18:00hrs 30th Dec
Aardvark 03:00 0n 31st December (P.S no water in the whisky)
JockMacMad 18:00 2nd January [or has he changed his guess to the trifle?]

Posted: **Sat Dec 19, 2009 10:06 am**

I'm really optimistic, plus I think JockMacMad has a new toy to play with.

12 noon 27th December

Posted: **Sat Dec 19, 2009 3:02 pm**

Airculpret's crystal ball told him "01:00 GMT US & Canada"
29th December

. Hope my guess hasn't clashed.

Posted: **Sun Dec 20, 2009 12:36 am**

I'm really optimistic, plus I think JockMacMad has a new toy to play with.

He's certainly playing with something big & impressive. Which along with Merlyn's recovery, Lyall's awesome debut & my,comparatively inconsequential, return to adequacy, make a 2009 billion much more certain than it was looking a week or so back.

So I'm advancing my guess hugely, making the betting:

Nightlord ....................... 1200 27th Dec
Megacruncher ................ 1800 27th Dec
PinkPenguin ................... 0800 28th Dec
johnn/Airculpret ............. 0100 29th Dec
Reeltime ........................ 1800 29th Dec
IanMBaker ..................... 0100 30th Dec
FlyingfocRS .................... 1200 30th Dec
Aardvark ....................... 0300 31st Dec
JockMacMad ................... 1800 2nd Jan

Posted: **Sun Dec 20, 2009 2:18 pm**

2200 on 27 December

Posted: **Mon Dec 21, 2009 12:14 am**

2nd guess

Aardvark 20:00 0n 25th December (P.S no water in the whisky)

Posted: **Mon Dec 21, 2009 12:59 am**

Round up (& revision) time:

Aardvark ....................... 2000 25th Dec
Megacruncher ................ 1300 26th Dec
Nightlord ....................... 1200 27th Dec
Mr Thinhead ................... 2200 27th Dec
PinkPenguin ................... 0800 28th Dec
johnn/Airculpret ............. 0100 29th Dec
Reeltime ........................ 1800 29th Dec
IanMBaker ..................... 0100 30th Dec
FlyingfocRS .................... 1200 30th Dec
JockMacMad ................... 1800 2nd Jan

Despite jock's shock announcement about downing tools on the 23rd the fact remains that we are only 23.3 million short of our target and currently tucking away 5 million per day. Even if that halves after the 23rd then boxing day is a reasonable aspiration.

Posted: **Mon Dec 21, 2009 11:39 am**

26th 03:00 is my revision.

I appologise for my tardy shutdown...

Posted: **Mon Dec 21, 2009 2:11 pm**

I'll revise I think to the 28th at 4am

:)

Posted: **Mon Dec 21, 2009 8:30 pm**

2359Z

25 December

YOOL 2009

Posted: **Mon Dec 21, 2009 11:06 pm**

Hmmm, JockMacMad's planned dereliction of duty, has got me thinking I that need to ease back a little on my first guess. On the otherhand, we are motoring so fast now, I'll leave it for a day or so to see what pans out.

Now, if you really got your act together, you could fly back up, top up the key, plug it into the meter and fly back down to Mrs JMM's family without breaking sweat.....that, or employ a highly trained gang of white mice dressed in ninja suits to swap a newly topped up key at just the right time

Posted: **Tue Dec 22, 2009 12:35 am**

2359Z

25 December

YOOL 2009

You've lost me.
Do you mean 00:00hrs on 26th December?

Posted: **Tue Dec 22, 2009 11:13 pm**

Hmmm, JockMacMad's planned dereliction of duty,

Dinnae be sae sure laddie.

We had 8 inches of snow here last night (in Aberdeen), and it looks like it might be the same tonight. Snowing heavily at the moment.

Posted: **Tue Dec 22, 2009 11:38 pm**

Regardless of the feasability of JockMacMad's travel plans (and I'm sure we all wish him a safe & speedy journey back to Mrs JMM) his output is already dropping from nearly 1.9M yesterday to just under 1M today. All the same we racked up 4.6M today which, with 987M done, would extrapolate to 1B late on Xmas day. I'm going to assume some further drop off & go for a slightly earlier time on boxing day, leaving us with:

Aardvark ....................... 2000 25th Dec
CycloneRanger ...............0000 26th Dec [as far as I can decipher! ]
JockMacMad ................... 0300 26th Dec
Megacruncher ................ 0900 26th Dec
Nightlord ....................... 1200 27th Dec
Mr Thinhead ................... 2200 27th Dec
Reeltime ........................ 0400 28th Dec
PinkPenguin ................... 0800 28th Dec
johnn/Airculpret ............. 0100 29th Dec
IanMBaker ..................... 0100 30th Dec
FlyingfocRS .................... 1200 30th Dec

Roughly half these guesses are insultingly pessimistic so get them revised now folks.

Posted: **Wed Dec 23, 2009 9:06 am**

Yup. it's a tough call this one. We had the same snow yesterday, so if JMM is traveling (and this chart suggests he is: JockMacMad's output), our output will be reduced in line with Willie's ideas.

However, maybe he will have a box running for a wee while longer?

Anyway, time for a revision:

1200 26th December .... Mrs N's birthday don't you know

Posted: **Wed Dec 23, 2009 12:30 pm**

0400 hours, boxing day

Posted: **Wed Dec 23, 2009 1:28 pm**

Aardvark 11:00 on 26th December

Posted: **Wed Dec 23, 2009 5:49 pm**

CycloneRanger ...............0000 25th Dec
JockMacMad ................... 0300 26th Dec
Reeltime ........................ 0400 26th Dec
Aardvark ....................... 1100 26th Dec
Megacruncher ................ 1200 26th Dec
Nightlord ....................... 1200 26th Dec
FlyingfocRS .................... 1600 26th Dec
Mr Thinhead ................... 2200 27th Dec
PinkPenguin ................... 0800 28th Dec
johnn/Airculpret ............. 0100 29th Dec
IanMBaker ..................... 0100 30th Dec

Posted: **Wed Dec 23, 2009 6:04 pm**

I think I had better revise my time a bit. Don't want to be too pessimistic.

14:00 26th December.

IAn

Posted: **Wed Dec 23, 2009 6:21 pm**

OK, I'll revise to 0900 on 26 December.

Posted: **Wed Dec 23, 2009 7:53 pm**

Didn't Willie choose 0900 on 26th?

Posted: **Wed Dec 23, 2009 9:06 pm**

The Big B on Boxing Day / St. Stephen's day... now there's a thought...

15:00 on 26th December

Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year to everyone!

Posted: **Wed Dec 23, 2009 9:44 pm**

I hope this rev. being so close to turnover doesn't seem cheeky,
26 Dec. 1300 hrs.

Posted: **Wed Dec 23, 2009 9:45 pm**

i guess 10:00 am 26th December if no ones taken it.

Posted: **Thu Dec 24, 2009 12:34 am**

Didn't Willie choose 0900 on 26th?

I did indeed. The last round-up introduced some, erm.., anomalies which I will try and sort out. Doubtless I will increase the confusion 10 fold.

If your guess isn't where you think it should be tell me and I'll do my best to fix it.

Whatever, I've given Mr Thinhead 0900 on the 26th and opted for the unacustomed role of team pessimist by shifting my guess to late on boxing day afternoon.

Although we are now just 9.4M short of the big one Jock's farm has switched off almost totally & I reckon that we will be reduced to a mere 3.5 million per day.

CycloneRanger ...............0000 26th Dec [as far as I can decipher!

]
JockMacMad ................... 0300 26th Dec
Reeltime ........................ 0400 26th Dec
Mr Thinhead ................... 0900 26th Dec
Robbie .......................... 1000 26th Dec
Aardvark ....................... 1100 26th Dec
Nightlord ....................... 1200 26th Dec
johnn/Airculpret ............. 1300 26th Dec
IanMBaker ..................... 1400 26th Dec
PinkPenguin ................... 1500 26th Dec
FlyingfocRS .................... 1600 26th Dec
Megacruncher ................ 1700 26th Dec

Posted: **Thu Dec 24, 2009 1:04 am**

sorry! 1800 26th!

Posted: **Thu Dec 24, 2009 1:13 am**

No need to apologise - I don't particularly want to be team pessimist & anyway to maximise the fun I've left the guessing open until 999 million so you can keep changing your mind for a while to come.

CycloneRanger ...............0000 26th Dec [as far as I can decipher! Wink ]
JockMacMad ................... 0300 26th Dec
Mr Thinhead ................... 0900 26th Dec
Robbie .......................... 1000 26th Dec
Aardvark ....................... 1100 26th Dec
Nightlord ....................... 1200 26th Dec
johnn/Airculpret ............. 1300 26th Dec
IanMBaker ..................... 1400 26th Dec
PinkPenguin ................... 1500 26th Dec
FlyingfocRS .................... 1600 26th Dec
Megacruncher ................ 1700 26th Dec
Reeltime ........................ 1800 26th Dec

Posted: **Thu Dec 24, 2009 9:57 am**

Didn't Willie choose 0900 on 26th?
I did indeed. The last round-up introduced some, erm.., anomalies which I will try and sort out.

oops slight error in the old copy and paste there.

I'll blame Rocky who decided to jump up and sit on my knee/laptop mid post. Either that or senility!!!!!!

Posted: **Thu Dec 24, 2009 11:56 am**

A major fly has just landed in the predictive ointment.
Collatz has gone tits-up and their Admin is away for Xmas.
So make sure you've got Milkyway attached as a back-up & be prepared for this turning into a guess when Collatz gets back on-line comp. C'est le Boinc!

Posted: **Thu Dec 24, 2009 12:09 pm**

Didn't Willie choose 0900 on 26th?
I did indeed. The last round-up introduced some, erm.., anomalies which I will try and sort out.
oops slight error in the old copy and paste there.

Wow... I couldn't figure out why my new choice had become a subject of international diplomacy all of a sudden, but I see from a close reading of the scrolls what went wrong.

I am happy to concede 0900 if Willie wants to lay first claim. But if not I will stick with that.

Must go now, my private jet awaits, and I hope to be back in my very own remote corner of Perthshire before midnight.

Posted: **Thu Dec 24, 2009 12:33 pm**

Collatz seems to be back. Perhaps it doing it's holiday bounce and will be up and down till new year.

Ian

Posted: **Thu Dec 24, 2009 1:22 pm**

I am happy to concede 0900 if Willie wants to lay first claim. But if not I will stick with that.

Not a problem - I was planning a revision anyway so 0900 is yours for as long as you want it.

Watch that private jet now - the runways are icy up here.

Posted: **Thu Dec 24, 2009 3:04 pm**

I lost a power supply fan last night.

Managed to rig something this morning, but it sounded dreadful and more importantly, the psu was complaining like it was about to expire in flames (I've seen that only once before and it's frightening). So I'm one cruncher down on MW until I can get a big enough psu to replace it.

That and with JockMacMad's festive jaunt down South, it's time to move the guess again.

2000 December 26th

Posted: **Thu Dec 24, 2009 6:54 pm**

The abacus (8 bit, No floating point, 3 bits/second) has just predicted the following time :)

Aardvark 19:00 on 26th December

Posted: **Fri Dec 25, 2009 1:17 am**

If my cut & paste skills are better than Mike's then the state of the art is:

CycloneRanger ...............0000 26th Dec [as far as I can decipher! Wink ]
JockMacMad ................... 0300 26th Dec
Mr Thinhead ................... 0900 26th Dec
Robbie .......................... 1000 26th Dec
johnn/Airculpret ............. 1300 26th Dec
IanMBaker ..................... 1400 26th Dec
PinkPenguin ................... 1500 26th Dec
FlyingfocRS .................... 1600 26th Dec
Reeltime ........................ 1800 26th Dec
Aardvark ....................... 1900 26th Dec
Nightlord ....................... 2000 26th Dec
Megacruncher ................ 2100 26th Dec

As you will see I've decided to be a wee bit more pessimisic. We have just over 6 million to go and managed 3.3 million in the last day.

Keep watching & keep revising those guesses.

PS Merry Xmas!!

Posted: **Fri Dec 25, 2009 9:30 am**

CycloneRanger ...............0000 26th Dec
JockMacMad ................... 0300 26th Dec
Mr Thinhead ................... 0900 26th Dec
Robbie .......................... 1000 26th Dec
johnn/Airculpret ............. 1300 26th Dec
IanMBaker ..................... 1400 26th Dec
PinkPenguin ................... 1500 26th Dec
FlyingfocRS .................... 1600 26th Dec
MacDitch ....................... 1700 26th Dec
Reeltime ........................ 1800 26th Dec
Aardvark ....................... 1900 26th Dec
Nightlord ....................... 2000 26th Dec
Megacruncher ................ 2100 26th Dec

Late to the competition, almost too late, but I've stuck a guess in a gap I spotted.

Merry Christmas everyone. Enjoy the day, it's almost over here.

Posted: **Sat Dec 26, 2009 1:08 am**

You'd only be too late if we had passed 999 million. As it is we are still 2.5 million short of our historic landmark.

With an hour of the day gone I think it's reasonable to assume that we will make the grade sometime in the second half of today.

Those guessing a time before lunch might want to think about grabbing one of the evening slots whilst they remain available.

Posted: **Sat Dec 26, 2009 2:35 am**

damn it, hate to be a party pooper but 22.00 26th Dec

Posted: **Sat Dec 26, 2009 10:15 am**

Too pessimistic and a little rash methinks. We are 1.25 million short as of 10 am. Just to show my faith in our crunching ability I shall pinch the 1800 slot vacated by Reeltime.

CycloneRanger ...............0000 26th Dec
JockMacMad ................... 0300 26th Dec
Mr Thinhead ................... 0900 26th Dec
Robbie .......................... 1000 26th Dec
johnn/Airculpret ............. 1300 26th Dec
IanMBaker ..................... 1400 26th Dec
PinkPenguin ................... 1500 26th Dec
FlyingfocRS .................... 1600 26th Dec
MacDitch ....................... 1700 26th Dec
Megacruncher ................ 1800 26th Dec
Aardvark ....................... 1900 26th Dec
Nightlord ....................... 2000 26th Dec
Reeltime ........................ 2200 26th Dec

Posted: **Sat Dec 26, 2009 10:33 am**

Hi guys, hope you all had a great time yesterday and if you were traveling that you got to where you wanted to be safe and sound despite the weather.

It looks a tight call. Even 8-10 hours out, it's difficult to be certain, but I think there are three guesses that are close to being on the mark, starting with Willie, then Aardvark, followed by yours truly.

Out of those, it seems to me that Aardvark has the best chance of pulling it off.

However, it only needs one project to report some credits early and Willie will indulge himself in a bottle of malt: or if a project goes offline I may still snatch victory from the jaws of defeat.

Posted: **Sat Dec 26, 2009 12:21 pm**

hey can you put me down for 2100 today please.

Posted: **Sat Dec 26, 2009 12:59 pm**

According to Temujins stat's http://ubt-seti.dyndns.org/tsbt/UBT.php the total at 12:00 was 999,043,505. It's now in the lap of the gods :) (that would be a good name for a song

)

I hope everybody had a good Christmas and manage to achieve all that they wish for in the New Year to come.

The Scottish Boinc Team

Big Billion Bumper Bonanza

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