The Scottish Boinc Team

OK, as you probably know, on 6th May we vote for a new UK government. Of the 650 UK constituencies 59 are in Scotland.
The aim of the comp is to guess the number of MPs for each party in Scotland.

To start the ball rolling I will guess

Lab 37 LD 12 SNP 7 Con 3

The winner is the person with the lowest error score. If my prediction is spot on my error score will be 0 and I'd be the winner. If the results were 34-13-8-4 then my error score would be the Sum of (result predicted +/- actual result) for each party ie 3 + 1 + 1 + 1 = 6.

The prize will be a £20 amazon credit voucher.

Revise your entries as much as you like between now and close of voting at 10pm on the 6th of May.

It might also be fun to find out the politics of our members. Probably best just voting (anonymous) than detailed attributable & devisive political confesssionals/sermons. :)

I'm game to have a go:

Lab 22 LD 12 SNP 16 Con 9

I'm sure my complete lack of interest in politics will now be evident to all.

I keep hearing echoes of "Build a bonfire, build a bonfire..." ... :

Lab 36 LD 12 SNP 9 Con 2

... oh well, so much for the football results.

Mrs T and I have already voted by post as will both be in France next week. No. 1 son, who is nearly 18 and can't vote yet, tells us that he would have voted for another party, quite the opposite of the one we voted for. Oh well, here goes...

Lab 30 LD 13 SNP 13 Con 3

I will say...
LAB 33 LD 11 SNP 7 CON 8

And my tuppence worth LAB 33 LD 16 SNP 6 CON 4.

This has been seconded by the toaster & "She" who must be obeyed

To sum up the guesses so far:

Megacruncher .... Lab 37 LD 12 SNP 7 Con 3
MacDitch ............ Lab 22 LD 12 SNP 16 Con 9
PinkPenguin ....... Lab 36 LD 12 SNP 9 Con 2
Mr Thinhead ....... Lab 30 LD 13 SNP 13 Con 3
johnn ................. LAB 33 LD 11 SNP 7 CON 8
aardvark ............ LAB 33 LD 16 SNP 6 CON 4


FWIW The 2005 result in Scotland was Lab 40 LD 11 SNP 6 Con 1 Spkr 1
Although you could legitimately count the speaker as being labour.

Lab 24
LD 19
SNP 10
Con 5
Green 1

Lab 32
SNP 9
LD 15
Con 3

The guesses so far:

Megacruncher .... Lab 37 LD 12 SNP 7 Con 3
MacDitch ............ Lab 28 LD 15 SNP 11 Con 5
PinkPenguin ....... Lab 36 LD 12 SNP 9 Con 2
Mr Thinhead ....... Lab 30 LD 13 SNP 13 Con 3
johnn ................. LAB 33 LD 11 SNP 7 CON 8
aardvark ............ LAB 33 LD 16 SNP 6 CON 4
Reeltime ............ Lab 32 LD 15 SNP 9 Con 3
Storme .............. Lab 24 LD 19 SNP 10 Con 5 Green 1

Let me be the first to revise my guess:


Megacruncher .... Lab 35 LD 13 SNP 8 Con 3
MacDitch ............ Lab 28 LD 15 SNP 11 Con 5
PinkPenguin ....... Lab 36 LD 12 SNP 9 Con 2
Mr Thinhead ....... Lab 30 LD 13 SNP 13 Con 3
johnn ................. LAB 33 LD 11 SNP 7 CON 8
aardvark ............ LAB 33 LD 16 SNP 6 CON 4
Reeltime ............ Lab 32 LD 15 SNP 9 Con 3
Storme .............. Lab 24 LD 19 SNP 10 Con 5 Green 1

I will be the second to revise my guess...

Lab 34
LD 12
SNP 8
Con 5

And I'm re-revising mine so we have

Megacruncher .... Lab 33 LD 14 SNP 9 Con 3
MacDitch ............ Lab 28 LD 15 SNP 11 Con 5
PinkPenguin ....... Lab 36 LD 12 SNP 9 Con 2
Mr Thinhead ....... Lab 30 LD 13 SNP 13 Con 3
johnn ................. LAB 34 LD 12 SNP 8 CON 5
aardvark ............ LAB 33 LD 16 SNP 6 CON 4
Reeltime ............ Lab 32 LD 15 SNP 9 Con 3
Storme .............. Lab 24 LD 19 SNP 10 Con 5 Green 1

Keep those revisions coming right up until the polling stations close.

And with only the Argyle & Bute result to come in our survey says:

Labour 41
Liberal Democrat 10
Scottish National Party 6
Conservative 1

I guess none of us knew what we were talking about!

I guess none of us knew what we were talking about!

Never a truer word said! It all happened across the border... 8)

Never a truer word said! It all happened across the border... 8)

It's okay for you - I think you won! Having said that, I can't face the prospect of actually doing all those calculations, so I could be wrong. :)

The final vote is in giving us a new Scottish make-up of:

Labour 41
Liberal Democrat 11
Scottish National Party 6
Conservative 1

Nothing new about it!

Anyhoo as returning officer I declare PinkPenguin the clear winner (not many of them around today) with a teensie little Error score of 10. So as to spare other entrants blushes I'll not publish the full results.

Congrats PP :wav: :wav:

If only I'd stuck to my first guess ...

Thanks Mega... If it's any consolation I think we were all mislead by the great brit tradition of leading pollsters up the garden path....

Well done P.P. I'll have a word with Liz when she comes up to Balmoral, that's if you fancy the job as P.M ?

Well done P.P. I'll have a word with Liz when she comes up to Balmoral, that's if you fancy the job as P.M ?

Has to be better than A.M. I could never get the hang of waking up early! :) ..... er ...After that one I think it's "time for bed" I just saw Zebedee bouncing past my window.