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#1 Free Booze!!
Posted: Tue Jun 03, 2008 5:31 pm
by MacDitch
It's about time we had a new competition, and it was too good an opportunity to miss, so here it is. :)
Guess when we'll hit 100 million credits...
Due to the addition of 'predictors' on all the stats sites the rules are a smidge different...
- Competition is open to all actively crunching members of The Scottish Boinc Team. (Must be active throughout the competition.)
Guesses can be made and altered until we pass 95million. (As declared by me in this thread!)
Guesses will consist of a date and hour (GMT) which will cover from xx:00 to xx:59
- -> e.g. 10th of June @ 22:00 - would cover 10pm until 10:59pm on the tenth.
Final time will be when the first team member spots that BoincStats has us over 100million and posts in this thread.
Closest to the correct time(band) will win a £10 booze voucher.
Good luck everyone. :)

:)
#2
Posted: Tue Jun 03, 2008 6:06 pm
by Reeltime
An optimistic bid to start with of September 3rd, 6pm
#3
Posted: Tue Jun 03, 2008 7:37 pm
by Snowdog
Overly optimistic I guess 31 August 8.00am
#4
Posted: Tue Jun 03, 2008 7:43 pm
by Nightlord
I think the effect of summer heat and holiday shutdowns may slow us down a tad. So, I'm going with an initial guess of September 21st at 11am
#5
Posted: Tue Jun 03, 2008 8:10 pm
by MacDitch
I guess I should have remembered to post a guess as well!
Roll Call:
31st of August @ 8am - Snowdog
3rd of September @ 6pm - Reeltime
16th of September @ 10pm - MacDitch
21st of September @ 11am - Nightlord
#6
Posted: Tue Jun 03, 2008 11:25 pm
by Megacruncher
Okay here's my no doubt soon to be revised guess.
25th September @ 18:35.
Like Nightlord I think the summer heat will soon force even the keenest of us to make comprimises. The holidays aren't so bad if you're away and no one is in the house to suffer heat stroke!
#7
Posted: Wed Jun 04, 2008 12:34 am
by Buster Gunn
My ex wifes birthday, Sep 14th 21:00.
#8
Posted: Thu Jun 05, 2008 12:01 am
by Megacruncher
My ex wifes birthday, Sep 14th 21:00.
Aahhh, you sentimental fool, you :) !
#9
Posted: Thu Jun 05, 2008 12:30 am
by FlyingfocRS
Megacruncher wrote:Okay here's my no doubt soon to be revised guess.
25th September @ 18:35.
Like Nightlord I think the summer heat will soon force even the keenest of us to make comprimises. The holidays aren't so bad if you're away and no one is in the house to suffer heat stroke!
When my daughter moved out I converted her old room into a farm.
Need to buy a fan though to try and waft some air round the room though.
Room is about 12ft x 5ft and contains 4 quads, laptop and a PS3!
Heat does kind of take your breath away when you open the door LOL even with the window open!

#10
Posted: Thu Jun 05, 2008 9:09 am
by dalyplanet
12th of September @ 2am
#11
Posted: Thu Jun 05, 2008 11:07 am
by MacDitch
Roll Call:
31st of August @ 8am - Snowdog
3rd of September @ 6pm - Reeltime
12th of September @ 2am - dalyplanet
14th of September @ 9pm - Buster Gunn
16th of September @ 10pm - MacDitch
21st of September @ 11am - Nightlord
25th of September @ 6pm - Megacruncher
#12
Posted: Thu Jun 05, 2008 4:40 pm
by Matelot
Ok then, 2nd Oct 05:00

#13
Posted: Thu Jun 05, 2008 5:27 pm
by utopia-i
10th September @ 16:00hrs
[daughters b'day

]
#14
Posted: Sat Jun 14, 2008 12:38 am
by Megacruncher
First revised guess.
I bring mine forward to 2nd September at 12 noon. We have some powerful new members & doubtless they will bring more in their wake.
#15
Posted: Sat Jun 14, 2008 1:28 am
by MacDitch
Roll Call:
31st of August @ 8am - Snowdog
2nd of September @ noon - Megacruncher
3rd of September @ 6pm - Reeltime
9th of September @ 10pm - MacDitch
10th of September @ 4pm - utopia-i
12th of September @ 2am - dalyplanet
14th of September @ 9pm - Buster Gunn
21st of September @ 11am - Nightlord
2nd of October @ 5am - Matelot Very pessimistic I think!!
#16
Posted: Sat Jun 14, 2008 1:14 pm
by ianmbaker2
I'm gonna try for September 5th at 3pm.
For no particular reason.
#17
Posted: Sun Jun 15, 2008 12:08 pm
by Mr Thinhead
My guess is 12th of September @ 10pm.
#18
Posted: Sat Jun 28, 2008 3:27 pm
by Nightlord
Our RAC continues to climb, so I think it's time to change my guess.
1st September at 6pm

#19
Posted: Mon Jun 30, 2008 3:33 pm
by rowpie
September 2nd at Noon.
its based on a carefully calculated first day i thought of plus a time that was easy to write.
common!!
#20
Posted: Mon Jun 30, 2008 8:10 pm
by FTO-Par
Pure guesswork Sep 1st 23:00
#21
Posted: Mon Jun 30, 2008 9:17 pm
by MacDitch
Roll Call:
29th of August @ 9pm - MacDitch
31st of August @ 8am - Snowdog
1st of September @ 6pm - Nightlord
1st of September @ 11pm - FTO-Par
2nd of September @ noon - Megacruncher
3rd of September @ 6pm - Reeltime
5th of September @ 3pm - IanBaker2
10th of September @ 4pm - utopia-i
12th of September @ 2am - dalyplanet
12th of September @ 10pm - MrThinhead
14th of September @ 9pm - Buster Gunn
2nd of October @ 5am - Matelot
Rowpie, Mega already had your guess pegged - pick another. :)
#22
Posted: Tue Jul 01, 2008 8:52 am
by Matelot
Think i'll get serious now, and change my guess to 30th Aug 21:00.
#23
Posted: Tue Jul 01, 2008 2:44 pm
by rowpie
MacDitch wrote:Roll Call:
29th of August @ 9pm - MacDitch
31st of August @ 8am - Snowdog
1st of September @ 6pm - Nightlord
1st of September @ 11pm - FTO-Par
2nd of September @ noon - Megacruncher
3rd of September @ 6pm - Reeltime
5th of September @ 3pm - IanBaker2
10th of September @ 4pm - utopia-i
12th of September @ 2am - dalyplanet
12th of September @ 10pm - MrThinhead
14th of September @ 9pm - Buster Gunn
2nd of October @ 5am - Matelot
Rowpie, Mega already had your guess pegged - pick another. :)
I swear i picked that randomly and didn't read any other posts!!!
fine then 1pm on the 2nd
#24
Posted: Wed Jul 02, 2008 2:08 am
by Reeltime
Time for an update from me!
Seeing as our RAC rises meteorically, plus the fact we might make the top 100 for WCG by then, and have some people earning more credit elsewhere, I'm going for August 25th 12 noon
#25
Posted: Wed Jul 02, 2008 5:58 pm
by Mr Thinhead
... and have some people earning more credit elsewhere ...
That is good thinking (I think).
I would like to revise my entry to 28 August @ 7 pm.
#26
Posted: Fri Jul 04, 2008 4:30 pm
by MacDitch
Updated Roll Call:
25th of August @ noon - Reeltime
28th of August @ 7pm - MrThinhead
29th of August @ 9pm - MacDitch
30th of August @ 9pm - Matelot
31st of August @ 8am - Snowdog
1st of September @ 6pm - Nightlord
1st of September @ 11pm - FTO-Par
2nd of September @ noon - Megacruncher
2nd of September @ 1pm - Rowpie
5th of September @ 3pm - IanBaker2
10th of September @ 4pm - utopia-i
12th of September @ 2am - dalyplanet
14th of September @ 9pm - Buster Gunn
#27
Posted: Sat Jul 19, 2008 6:40 pm
by Andrew
I guess it's time for me to join in and have a guess
27th August at 1500
Some of you guys really aren't being all that too optimistic are you

#28
Posted: Mon Aug 04, 2008 8:00 am
by Buster Gunn
Moving my guess in to Sep 8th 1200.
#29
Posted: Sun Aug 17, 2008 11:59 pm
by Megacruncher
At 94.7 Million this competition will close soon so get your revisions in soon!
The credit crunch on Cosmology & Einstein & the disappearance of Reiselseive has affected our output (in common with the rest of the Boinc community*) and so I'm altering my guess to something marginally less optimistic
9th September @ 22:00hrs (it's still PDG!)
(*Our absolute production has dropped but relatively speaking we are doing very well with a ranking by RAC of 40th in the world).
#30
Posted: Mon Aug 18, 2008 8:44 am
by MacDitch
Right, I'm back from my exile of the last few weeks and should be back to normal in a day or so. As Mega pointed out, the competition closes in a matter of hours (today/tomorrow sometime) so anyone wanting to update guesses should do it quick...
Guesses as they stand:
25th of August @ noon - Reeltime
27th of August @ 3pm - Andrew
28th of August @ 7pm - MrThinhead
30th of August @ 9pm - Matelot
31st of August @ 8am - Snowdog
1st of September @ 6pm - Nightlord
1st of September @ 11pm - FTO-Par
2nd of September @ 1pm - Rowpie
5th of September @ 3pm - IanBaker2
8th of September @ noon - Buster Gunn
9th of September @ noon - MacDitch
9th of September @ 10pm - Megacruncher
10th of September @ 4pm - utopia-i
12th of September @ 2am - dalyplanet
#31
Posted: Tue Aug 19, 2008 2:35 pm
by MacDitch
The team is a mere 26k of the cut-off point for guesses/changes. Last minute adjustments should be made quickly.
Good luck everyone. :)
#32
Posted: Tue Aug 19, 2008 8:03 pm
by MacDitch
Just looked in on BOINCStats and it shows us at 95,009,771.49 cobblestones, so....
No More Changes!
Good luck to everyone who enterred.
#33
Posted: Mon Sep 01, 2008 8:50 am
by MacDitch
Only a matter of days to go, and it looks like the best chances lie with Ian Baker and Buster:
5th of September @ 3pm - IanBaker2
8th of September @ noon - Buster Gunn
That said, things have been known to happen unexpectedly so it's not over 'till it's over. :)
#34
Posted: Mon Sep 01, 2008 9:06 am
by Buster Gunn
Only a matter of days to go, and it looks like the best chances lie with Ian Baker and Buster:
Go Ian. I can't drink. Doctors orders. I thought I made a guess that didn't have a chance.
#35
Posted: Mon Sep 01, 2008 6:26 pm
by ianmbaker2
It's not over the the last cache empties...
#36
Posted: Mon Sep 01, 2008 11:26 pm
by Megacruncher
Almost certainly it will be between you two. If it's before 2am on the 7th it's Ian's, after that Busters. Who's staying up?
Or, if there are simultaneous server outages for half a dozen large projects it might just be me on the 9th.

Then again....
#37
Posted: Tue Sep 02, 2008 12:25 am
by FlyingfocRS
I can probably check at 2am on the 7th, nightshift.
#38
Posted: Thu Sep 04, 2008 10:17 pm
by MacDitch
We're less than half a million away from 9 digits so here's a tidy up.
Better luck next time to:
25th of August @ noon - Reeltime
27th of August @ 3pm - Andrew
28th of August @ 7pm - MrThinhead
30th of August @ 9pm - Matelot
31st of August @ 8am - Snowdog
1st of September @ 6pm - Nightlord
1st of September @ 11pm - FTO-Par
2nd of September @ 1pm - Rowpie
Whilst the first of these next has got to be the clear favourite, those still in with a chance are:
5th of September @ 3pm - IanBaker2
8th of September @ noon - Buster Gunn
9th of September @ noon - MacDitch
9th of September @ 10pm - Megacruncher
10th of September @ 4pm - utopia-i
12th of September @ 2am - dalyplanet
#39
Posted: Fri Sep 05, 2008 1:45 am
by Megacruncher
Indeed, so long as we manage a feeble 421K in the next 48 hrs it's Ian's. Only a Boincstats outage, like we had for the 50 Million comp

, can change the outcome.
#40
Posted: Fri Sep 05, 2008 1:53 am
by Buster Gunn
Indeed, so long as we manage a feeble 421K in the next 48 hrs it's Ian's
I'm not going to upload for 2 days. JUST KIDDING. Go Ian

#41
Posted: Fri Sep 05, 2008 7:11 pm
by ianmbaker2
Cheers Buster. If I can finish a GPU unit tomorrow that will help me along as long well.
But it's not over yet.
Ian
#42
Posted: Sat Sep 06, 2008 1:10 am
by Megacruncher
138K in the next 25 hours will do it for Ian & even more importantly for the whole of TSBT!
I'll most likely be away in the hills at the the big moment so, in advance, I'll say well done team & congratulations Ian.

#43
Posted: Sat Sep 06, 2008 2:18 am
by Buster Gunn
It's basically taken this team years to get to 100mm, BUT, if you look at the current RAC , we do a million every 4 days. Thats 91.5MM in a year. Now, if we add in the current push with PS3, which has yet to peak, we should be able to do another 100MM within a year. A challenge to all team members, lets do 100MM in the next 365 days. That's only 1MM every 3.65 days or 274K a day. . Target date, September 7th, 2009.
#44
Posted: Sat Sep 06, 2008 4:03 pm
by MacDitch
Congratulations to Ian Baker who was the closest guess to when we would make 9 figures.
When I checked just now (15:59 BST) Boincstats showed us as having:
100,040,762.73 credits
#45
Posted: Sat Sep 06, 2008 4:10 pm
by ianmbaker2
Woo Hoo. Thank you, thank you thank you.
(Waits for thunderous applause to stop)
I'd like to thank my agent, my manager , and especially all the crunchers on TSBT for contributing their CPU cycles and electricity.
Ian
#46
Posted: Sat Sep 06, 2008 4:50 pm
by Nightlord
Woohoo!
The beer's are on Ian!
I know; I really should get out more, but what the heck: did you know that 1 Cobblestone = 8.64 x 10^11 flops, so 100 Million Cobblestones = 86,400,000,000,000,000,000 floating point operations.
...... plus or minus the odd or two. Were you counting?

#47
Posted: Sat Sep 06, 2008 8:40 pm
by Buster Gunn
Yea for Ian. Enjoy.

#48
Posted: Sat Sep 06, 2008 10:09 pm
by FlyingfocRS
congratulations Ian 8)